Showing posts with label Forget Money Management. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Forget Money Management. Show all posts

Saturday, December 11, 2010

Forget Money Management

If you wish to survive in trading game you must scalp the market only when is safe to scalp! It is all about draw-down's!

Here is not a question about WHEN is safe for scalping but mathematics about draw-down's?

You must be mathematician to understand what are you betting against!
I am betting against money managment and i don't have large draw-down's as money

Example:

Let's say that we gonna use same leverage in both cases! (1PIP = 1USD)


Scalping
If I take 3pip's of profit for 5 times in a row then I have 15 pip's of profit!
But if I lose 20 pip's at sixth try then I will have -5pip's altogether!
Draw-Down in this case is -5pip's.

Money Management
If I lose 3 time in a row for 20 pip's I will have -60 pip's draw-down!
And suppose that I take 60 pip's of profit (MM 1:3)on a forth time my balance is zero!
Draw-Down in this case is -60pip's.
Question is:

Which case has a larger Draw-Down?
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Scalping only 5 pip's of DD
MM 60 pip's of DD
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Who will first touch the zero sum balance????


What are the odds for taking 3pip's against 60 pip's?????

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One question for the end :
Which Money managment will have larger Draw-Down 1:2 or 1:3 ???
(Little help: what is harder to take: 3pip's,30pip's or 100pip's???)
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I hope that I have explain this so everybody can understand!
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Conclusion:
Money managment mustn't use large leverage as scalping system because of large DD!!!
So MM can not benefit from large leverage as scalping system wit

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